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Dudes & Duds – Week 12

DUDES

QB – Brock Purdy @ Seattle Seahawks

  • Brock Purdy lives for the big stage and an opportunity to have a monster performance on Thanksgiving Night is very fitting for this young man. The Seahawks secondary has been awful and has allowed the 2nd most points to opposing QBs this season. Start your Purdy’s!

QB – Jordan Love @ Detroit Lions

  • Jordan Love gets his 1st ever start on Thanksgiving and he’ll be facing a Lions secondary that is allowing the 5th most points to opposing QBs so far this season. Love has played better as of late and is primed for a big outing this Thursday.

RB – Tony Pollard Vs. Washington Commanders

  • Everyone who’s rostered Pollard this season has been waiting patiently for the breakout and I feel it is finally here. Pollard averaged 5.1 yards per carry on 12 touches last week and added 4 receptions out of the backfield. This week, Pollard faces a Commanders defense that just got absolutely gashed by Saquon Barkley.

RB – Derrick Henry Vs. Carolina Panthers

  • Henry has had a pretty disappointing last 2 weeks but don’t give up on him just yet. I’m slotting Henry in my lineups this week against a Panthers defense that is allowing 33 points per game to opposing running backs.

WR – DJ Moore @ Minnesota Vikings

  • Moore is averaging 7.5 targets over the last 5 outings and had his best performance of that span this past week in Justin Fields return to action. I like that this game is indoor and on turf and I also like that this match-up is against a Vikings secondary allowing 51.3 points per game to opposing WRs.

WR – Odell Beckham Jr. Vs. LA Chargers

  • Let’s get wild here. OBJ looked explosive as all hell last week against the Cincinnati Bengals and is averaging 34.5 yards per reception on 5 catches over the last 2 weeks. He demands more targets and with Andrews out, I expect Odell those targets to come his way.

TE – Luke Musgrave @ Detroit Lions

  • If the Luke Musgrave breakout game is ever going to come, this is going to be the week. The Detroit Lions have given up the most points to opposing tight ends this season and a prime candidate for Musgrave to have his best performance of the season.

 

DUDS

QB – Kyler Murray Vs. LA Rams

  • The Rams defense just did a very good job against Geno Smith and the potent Seattle Seahawks passing attack. Kyler Murray has been gifting those patient or smart enough to hold onto him or smart enough to pick him up with some solid starts. This week, I think Murray gets his 1st real “Welcome back to the NFL” moment. 

QB – Geno Smith @ San Francisco 49ers

  • Smith is coming off a game in which he looked average at best against a Rams defense that is not the same caliber of the 49ers. The 49ers are currently allowing just 9.6 points per week to opposing quarterbacks.

RB – Brian Robinson @ Dallas Cowboys

  • The Dallas Cowboys defense have given up the 3rd fewest points to opposing running backs so far this season. As a Cowboys fan, I feel they are much better at defending between the tackle runs than outside runs. Due to both of these factors I feel Robinson will struggle this week.

RB – Javonte Williams Vs. Cleveland Browns

  • Williams has totaled 59 carries over the last 3 weeks, so he is getting the volume, the production is just not there. Williams is averaging 3.4 yards per carry over that span and has failed to get into the end zone on the ground this season. The Browns defense is great against the run and this will be another disappointing week for Williams.

WR – DeAndre Hopkins Vs. Carolina Panthers

  • Hopkins has come back down to earth since his 128-yard performance Vs. Atlanta back on October 29th. This week, Hopkins will face a Panthers defense that just held CeeDee Lamb in check and is only allowing 26 points per week to opposing WRs.

WR – Davante Adams Vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense looked absolutely possessed for most of the game this past week against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Chiefs were able to hold AJ Brown to 1 reception on 4 targets for 8 yards. I think the Chiefs will have similar success against Adams.

TE – Jake Ferguson Vs. Washington Commanders

  • The Commanders have played the TE position very well this season, only allowing 5.6 points per game. Ferguson has been good but not great and with the emergence of Luke Schoonmaker, look for some of those targets Jake has been receiving to start going elsewhere.

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